ISSN 0869-6632 (Online)
ISSN 2542-1905 (Print)

wavelet analysis

Chaos and order in atmosheric dynamics part 3. Predictability of el nino

Topic. Based on the assumption that short-term climatic variations are nonchaotic, and, therefore, the paradigm of the limited predictability of weather formulated by E.N. Lorenz is not applicable to these variations, a question is posed about the unlimited predictability of the short-term climatic variations. It differs from the opinion generally accepted in climatology now that atmospheric motions of all time scales, beginning from daily weather variations, and including interannual, centennial and even millennial variations of climate are unstable. Aim.